Wet weather could return to South Lake Tahoe first week of new year

Could the strong high pressure system that's been over Northern California and Northern Nevada finally show signs of weakening and could snow return to the Sierra?

Temperatures will remain above average after a weekend that saw record high temperatures. Saturday's 61, Sunday's 58 both broke records, and Monday's forecast of a high of 53 is close to the record 54 from 2012.

High pressure remains overhead into Wednesday, with minimal precipitation chances but plenty of cloud cover. There will be a weak and relatively warm storm Wednesday night as high pressure weakens. The pattern remains unsettled into next weekend, with additional precipitation probable for the end of the week.

Forecast models are very mixed and with the incoming moisture coming from the sub-tropics, the system is not overly conducive to producing enhanced precipitation.

We may have to wait for measurable snow but perhaps the storm window is open?

The forecast from the National Weather Service in Reno:

New Year's Day - Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a highs near 53. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

Tonight - Increasing clouds, with a low around 24. Calm wind.

Tuesday - Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Calm wind.

Tuesday Night - Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Calm wind.

Wednesday - A 20 percent chance of rain after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high
near 50. Calm wind.

Wednesday Night - A 50 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.

Thursday - A 40 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47.

Thursday Night - A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35.

Friday - A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 48.

Friday Night - A chance of rain showers before 4am, then a chance of rain and snow
showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33.

Saturday - A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 46.

Saturday Night - A slight chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26.

Sunday - A slight chance of rain and snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 47.